A Electrician carries a 8/100 AI replacement risk (low). AI can already handle estimating & quoting; Physical installation & repair still needs a person. Of exposed work, ~32% is automation vs 68% augmentation. Capability clock: ~7.3 years (2033). (ReplacedYet AI-Risk Index, 2026 data.)

Will AI replace a Electrician?

AI replacement risk: 8/100 (low risk). Low exposure — this work resists automation and is hard for AI to replace.

Timeline: 5+ years / low. Of the exposed work, roughly 32% is likely to be automated and 68% augmented. $3.8B/yr of US wages sit in highly-exposed work for this role.

AI/software exposure: 17%. Robot/physical-automation exposure: 0%.

Capability clock: AI's measured task horizon reaches this role's core complexity (~9853224h of human work) ~7.3 years (2033) — projected from METR's ~4.3-month doubling.

Pressure Index: 6/100 (low) — blends risk, demand trend, and real-world evidence. Job postings up 14% vs 2020.

AI tools targeting this role

• ServiceTitan — scheduling, dispatch, and job-quoting admin

Layoff signal: none — Hands-on electrical work is highly resistant to automation, and demand remains stable.

Then vs. now: the 2013 Oxford study scored this 15%; our 2026 index scores it 8% (a fall of 7 points).

Tasks at risk

• Estimating & quoting — AI assists with bids and takeoffs.
• Code lookups — Instant reference via AI.
• Scheduling — Automated dispatch.

Tasks that still need a human

• Physical installation & repair — Manual, on-site dexterity.
• Troubleshooting in the field — Unstructured problem-solving.

Skills that protect you

• Industrial / specialized systems — Higher-skill work.
• Smart-home / EV / solar — Growing demand.
• Estimating & project mgmt — Run the business side.

Related jobs

Auto Mechanic (8%) · Painter (8%) · Sheet Metal Worker (8%) · Pipefitter (8%)

Category: Skilled Trades · Methodology · Download the dataset

ReplacedYet AI-Risk Index. Last updated 2026-06-26. AI-estimated and directionally useful, not a guarantee.