A Tour Guide carries a 29/100 AI replacement risk (low). AI can already handle routine documentation and reporting; Judgment in ambiguous situations still needs a person. Of exposed work, ~60% is automation vs 40% augmentation. Capability clock: ~5.2 years (2031). (ReplacedYet AI-Risk Index, 2026 data.)

Will AI replace a Tour Guide?

AI replacement risk: 29/100 (low risk). Low exposure — this work resists automation and is hard for AI to replace.

Timeline: 5+ years / low. Of the exposed work, roughly 60% is likely to be automated and 40% augmented. $417.6M/yr of US wages sit in highly-exposed work for this role.

AI/software exposure: 48%. Robot/physical-automation exposure: 0%.

Capability clock: AI's measured task horizon reaches this role's core complexity (~138948.3h of human work) ~5.2 years (2031) — projected from METR's ~4.3-month doubling.

Pressure Index: 25/100 (low) — blends risk, demand trend, and real-world evidence. Job postings down 8% vs 2020.

AI tools targeting this role

Layoff signal: low — AI is automating some routine tasks across roles, with exposure varying by how repetitive the work is.

Tasks at risk

Tasks that still need a human

Skills that protect you

Safer adjacent careers

Housekeeper (6%) · Childcare Worker (5%) · Hairdresser (6%) · Nursing Assistant (6%)

Related jobs

Hotel Manager (28%) · Event Planner (28%) · Catering Manager (31%) · Housekeeper (6%)

Category: Hospitality · Methodology · Download the dataset

ReplacedYet AI-Risk Index. Last updated 2026-06-26. AI-estimated and directionally useful, not a guarantee.